The Establishment of Tax Revenue Forecast Model and Its Empirical Test and Analysis

Taxes are generated with the creation of state, to satisfy state fulfill its functions material needs. The scale taxation is an important indicator measure national financial strength and function scope government in social economic life. Tax forecasting great significance tax planning budget management. current form requires establishment a scientific system based on revenue as soon possible, so grasp initiative organizing revenue. Therefore, this paper adopts methods econometrics time series establish forecast model conduct empirical test analysis it, trying provide reference for local bureaus formulate collection plans promote more harmonious development regional economy.